Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 8

Sep 12, 2022 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion

Jong AZ
2 - 3
PEC Zwolle

Barasi (36' pen.), Griffith (48')
Westerveld (27'), Engel (49')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stam (24' og.), Taha (61'), Huiberts (67')
van den Berg (32'), van Polen (35')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and PEC Zwolle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.22%) and 0-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
Jong AZ	Draw	PEC Zwolle
25.05% ( -0.14)	21.6% ( -0.04)	53.34% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 63.46% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.61% (

0.04)

35.39% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.58% (

0.05)

57.42% (

-0.05)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31% (

-0.08)

26.68% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.06% (

-0.11)

61.93% (

0.1)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.55% (

0.07)

13.44% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.58% (

0.14)

40.41% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Jong AZ 25.05%

PEC Zwolle 53.34%

Draw 21.6%

Jong AZ	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.05%	1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.6%	1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 4.22% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.34%