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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Coventry City

Derby
vs.
Coventry

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in Championship

We say: Derby County 1-2 Coventry City

A rejuvenated Derby side riding on cloud nine after Saturday's win should find some joy against a leaky Coventry backline, as Lampard's men have now failed to keep a clean sheet in six of their last seven games. However, one positive result does not mean that the Rams' attacking woes have been solved overnight, and a far more ruthless Coventry outfit should overpower their hosts in the final third as Lampard makes a winning return to Pride Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coventry City win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 28.82% and a draw has a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.87%).

Result
Derby CountyDrawCoventry City
28.82% (-0.207 -0.21) 27.35% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07) 43.82% (0.275 0.27)
Both teams to score 47.77% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.62% (0.183 0.18)57.37% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.8% (0.147 0.15)78.19% (-0.149 -0.15)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.56% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)35.44% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (-0.064 -0.06)72.2% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (0.226 0.23)26% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.98% (0.306 0.31)61.02% (-0.309 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 28.82%
    Coventry City 43.82%
    Draw 27.35%
Derby CountyDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-1 @ 6.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 28.82%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.21% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 12.41%
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.36% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 43.82%

Who will win Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby and Coventry?

Derby County
Draw
Coventry City
Derby County
20.0%
Draw
16.0%
Coventry City
64.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Coventry
1-2
Derby
Sakamoto (77')
Eccles (78')
Yates (11'), Thomas (73' og.)
Cashin (34'), Adams (59')
Mar 19, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 39
Derby
1-1
Coventry
Lawrence (66' pen.)
Byrne (57')
Godden (28')
Bidwell (22'), Dabo (54'), Hamer (66')
Jan 8, 2022 12.30pm
Third Round
Coventry
1-0
Derby
Hyam (42')
Shipley (53')

Jagielka (31'), Ebosele (57')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Coventry
1-1
Derby
Godden (20' pen.)
Maatsen (44')
Shinnie (78')
Davies (71'), Morrison (88')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Coventry
1-0
Derby
Biamou (11')
Hamer (30'), McCallum (89')

Clarke (9'), Buchanan (37'), Knight (49'), Kazim-Richards (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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