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AFC Wimbledon
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Newcastle logo

AFC Wimbledon
vs.
Newcastle

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fulham 3-1 Newcastle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League

We say: AFC Wimbledon 0-3 Newcastle United

Staunch defending has come naturally to Wimbledon in recent weeks, and the hosts should be paid the respect that they deserve from Newcastle after already dumping out one top-flight side. However, even a second-string Magpies team should make light work of their League Two opponents, as Howe gets the response he is after to the weekend's disappointment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.97%. A win for AFC Wimbledon has a probability of 24.21% and a draw has a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win is 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.81%).

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawNewcastle United
24.21% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 21.82% (-0.214 -0.21) 53.97% (0.28599999999999 0.29)
Both teams to score 61.66% (0.696 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.68% (0.95 0.95)37.32% (-0.95 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.46% (1.017 1.02)59.54% (-1.017 -1.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.46199999999999 0.46)28.38% (-0.462 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.579 0.58)64.12% (-0.57899999999999 -0.58)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.09% (0.41699999999999 0.42)13.91% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.65% (0.816 0.82)41.35% (-0.816 -0.82)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 24.21%
    Newcastle United 53.97%
    Draw 21.82%
AFC WimbledonDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.97% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 3.13% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.59% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 24.21%
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.175 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.95% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-2 @ 7.68% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.36% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 5.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 4.01% (0.101 0.1)
1-4 @ 3.14% (0.085 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.49% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.98% (0.078 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.24% (0.052 0.05)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 53.97%

Who will win Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Newcastle?

AFC Wimbledon
Draw
Newcastle United
AFC Wimbledon
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Newcastle United
75.0%
4
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool5401101912
2Manchester CityMan City4400113812
3Aston Villa5401107312
4Chelsea5311115610
5Arsenal431061510
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle531176110
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
8Fulham52217528
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
15Leicester CityLeicester503268-23
16Crystal Palace503247-33
17Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
18Southampton501429-71
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20Everton5014514-91


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