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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Stevenage

Barrow
0 - 1
Stevenage


Farman (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reeves (25')
Forster-Caskey (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Barrow and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Barrow
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-2 Stevenage

Stevenage will be looking to finish their promotion-winning campaign with a win, and after thrashing Barrow 5-0 in the reverse fixture, we think that they will have the belief to claim all three points on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
BarrowDrawStevenage
33.34% (-0.59 -0.59) 28.73% (0.103 0.1) 37.93% (0.488 0.49)
Both teams to score 45.47% (-0.373 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.98% (-0.419 -0.42)61.02% (0.42 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.99% (-0.314 -0.31)81.01% (0.316 0.32)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (-0.62400000000001 -0.62)34.05% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (-0.678 -0.68)70.73% (0.67999999999999 0.68)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (0.088999999999999 0.09)31.06% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62% (0.10299999999999 0.1)67.38% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 33.34%
    Stevenage 37.92%
    Draw 28.72%
BarrowDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 33.34%
1-1 @ 13.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.57% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 12.36% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.23% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 37.92%

How you voted: Barrow vs Stevenage

Barrow
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Stevenage
100%
5
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Stevenage
5-0
Barrow
Reeves (18'), Reid (50'), Sweeney (75'), Norris (78' pen.), Warren (86' og.)

Ray (40')
Feb 12, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 32
Barrow
0-0
Stevenage

Prosser (65')
Prosser (90+7')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
gameweek 1
Stevenage
1-0
Barrow
Reeves (46')
Lines (45+1'), Cuthbert (52'), Vancooten (55'), Taylor (90')

Taylor (21'), Banks (22'), Platt (45+2'), Kay (51'), Ntlhe (68'), Devitt (79')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
gameweek 38
Stevenage
2-1
Barrow
List (53'), Norris (87' pen.)
Andrew (78')
Banks (68'), Kay (87'), Barry (87')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
gameweek 1
Barrow
1-1
Stevenage
Angus (12' pen.)
Beadling (44')
Effiong (85' pen.)
Newton (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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