League One

League One | 2nd Leg

May 19, 2023 at 8pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
1 - 0
Bolton

(Barnsley win 2-1 on aggregate)

Kitching (24')
Cole (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dempsey (42'), Santos (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Bolton Wanderers (Barnsley to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Friday's showdown is destined to be a close-fought battle, but we expect Barnsley to edge out Bolton in front of the Oakwell faithful, with the hosts punching their ticket to Wembley thanks to a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
39.65% ( 0.31)	25.5% ( -0.12)	34.85% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 55.77% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.88% (

0.5)

48.12% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.72% (

0.46)

70.28% (

-0.46)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.02% (

0.39)

23.98% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.78% (

0.55)

58.22% (

-0.55)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

0.13)

26.63% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13% (

0.17)

61.87% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 39.65%

Bolton Wanderers 34.85%

Draw 25.49%

Barnsley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.65%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.85%