League One

League One | 1st Leg

May 13, 2023 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 1
Barnsley

(Barnsley win 2-1 on aggregate)

Charles (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cadden (63')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Bolton
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Peterborough
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley

Barnsley will not head into the playoffs with as much momentum as they would have liked, having seen their fortunes worsen since sealing fourth place, while Bolton will know the importance of going to Oakwell next week with a lead from their home tie, and we back the Trotters to prevail on Saturday as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Barnsley
37.57% ( 0.46)	26.22% ( -0.17)	36.21% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 53.49% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.88% (

0.71)

51.12% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.03% (

0.62)

72.97% (

-0.62)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52% (

0.59)

26.47% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.34% (

0.78)

61.66% (

-0.78)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74% (

0.17)

27.25% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32% (

0.22)

62.68% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 37.57%

Barnsley 36.21%

Draw 26.21%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.57%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.21%