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League One | 1st Leg
May 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
1 - 1
Barnsley

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Peterborough
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley

Barnsley will not head into the playoffs with as much momentum as they would have liked, having seen their fortunes worsen since sealing fourth place, while Bolton will know the importance of going to Oakwell next week with a lead from their home tie, and we back the Trotters to prevail on Saturday as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
37.57% (0.457 0.46) 26.22% (-0.168 -0.17) 36.21% (-0.291 -0.29)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.555 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (0.707 0.71)51.12% (-0.708 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (0.618 0.62)72.97% (-0.619 -0.62)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.59399999999999 0.59)26.47% (-0.595 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (0.783 0.78)61.66% (-0.785 -0.78)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (0.167 0.17)27.25% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (0.216 0.22)62.68% (-0.216 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 37.57%
    Barnsley 36.21%
    Draw 26.21%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.57%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.21%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
68.2%
Draw
18.2%
Barnsley
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton

Andersen (11')
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2pm
First Round
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
Kane (37')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
gameweek 15
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley

Norwood (24')
Aug 10, 2021 8pm
First Round
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley
Bolton win 5-4 on penalties

Jones (68')

Benson (13'), Moon (46'), Kane (82')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
Gardner (22'), McBurnie (90')
Moore (45'), Gardner (57'), Moncur (79'), McBurnie (81'), Lindsay (90')
Le Fondre (82' pen.), Noone (85')
Henry (13'), Ameobi (55'), Beevers (59'), Pratley (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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