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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
25.69% (![]() | 24.68% (![]() | 49.62% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.14% (![]() | 48.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.05% (![]() | 70.95% (![]() |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.61% (![]() | 33.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.98% (![]() | 70.01% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.29% (![]() | 19.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.27% (![]() | 51.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 7.22% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.69% | 1-1 @ 11.72% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 10.68% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.68% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 49.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 37 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 63 | 25 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Wrexham | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 77 |
3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 65 | 36 | 29 | 74 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 69 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 68 |
6 | Reading | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 62 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 61 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 60 | 57 | 3 | 60 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 59 |
10 | Blackpool | 39 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 57 |
11 | Barnsley | 39 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 54 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 50 |
13 | Stevenage | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 49 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 47 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 45 |
16 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 45 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 45 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 44 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 39 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 43 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 42 |
21 | Burton Albion | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 36 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 36 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 39 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 31 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 66 | -31 | 28 |
> League One Full Table |