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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bolton logo

Bristol Rovers
2 - 3
Bolton

Hoole (28'), Marquis (84')
Connolly (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Shoretire (24'), N'Lundulu (70'), Morley (77')
Sheehan (11'), Thomason (53'), N'Lundulu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

 While Bolton endured a blip versus Accrington, they have ended the season strongly, which is in sharp contrast to their hosts. With that in mind, we expect the visitors to battle their way to victory in the South West. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
25.69% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 24.68% (0.122 0.12) 49.62% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.48% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.541 -0.54)48.85% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (-0.494 -0.49)70.95% (0.491 0.49)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61% (-0.31500000000001 -0.32)33.39% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98% (-0.349 -0.35)70.01% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (-0.25200000000001 -0.25)19.71% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.409 -0.41)51.72% (0.406 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 25.69%
    Bolton Wanderers 49.61%
    Draw 24.68%
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.098 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 25.69%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.7% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 49.61%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Bolton

Bristol Rovers
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Bolton Wanderers
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Charles (90+4')
Thomason (24')
Coburn (2')
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
gameweek 30
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Murphy (82')
Darcy (24')
Clarke-Harris (63')
Upson (31'), Leahy (84')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Bolton

Nichols (51'), Ogogo (53')
Murphy (15'), Murphy (68')
Murphy (61')
Feb 28, 2017 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Vela (7')
Vela (45'), Long (65'), Osede (79')
Long (90')
Bodin (75')
Aug 17, 2016 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Bolton
Harrison (57')
Vela (6'), Spearing (26')
Trotter (56'), Spearing (72'), Madine (75'), Wilkinson (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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