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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bolton logo

Bristol Rovers
2 - 3
Bolton

Hoole (28'), Marquis (84')
Connolly (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Shoretire (24'), N'Lundulu (70'), Morley (77')
Sheehan (11'), Thomason (53'), N'Lundulu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

 While Bolton endured a blip versus Accrington, they have ended the season strongly, which is in sharp contrast to their hosts. With that in mind, we expect the visitors to battle their way to victory in the South West. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
25.69% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 24.68% (0.122 0.12) 49.62% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.48% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.541 -0.54)48.85% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (-0.494 -0.49)70.95% (0.491 0.49)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61% (-0.31500000000001 -0.32)33.39% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98% (-0.349 -0.35)70.01% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (-0.25200000000001 -0.25)19.71% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.409 -0.41)51.72% (0.406 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 25.69%
    Bolton Wanderers 49.61%
    Draw 24.68%
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.098 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 25.69%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.7% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 49.61%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Bolton

Bristol Rovers
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Bolton Wanderers
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Charles (90+4')
Thomason (24')
Coburn (2')
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
gameweek 30
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Murphy (82')
Darcy (24')
Clarke-Harris (63')
Upson (31'), Leahy (84')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Bolton

Nichols (51'), Ogogo (53')
Murphy (15'), Murphy (68')
Murphy (61')
Feb 28, 2017 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Vela (7')
Vela (45'), Long (65'), Osede (79')
Long (90')
Bodin (75')
Aug 17, 2016 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Bolton
Harrison (57')
Vela (6'), Spearing (26')
Trotter (56'), Spearing (72'), Madine (75'), Wilkinson (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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