MX23RW : Monday, March 10 18:46:27| >> :600:322660:322660:
Brighton logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Wolves logo

Brighton
3 - 2
Wolves

Balepa (14'), Adingra (31'), Kadioglu (85')
Estupinan (36'), Hinshelwood (47'), Ferguson (62'), Moder (68'), Webster (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Guedes (44'), Doyle (90+1')
Sarabia (45+1'), Doyle (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Ipswich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers

With a mounting injury list, Brighton are likely to rest the majority of their key players from the start on Wednesday, handing Wolves a glimmer of hope as they aim to progress into the fourth round. That being said, the Seagulls have home advantage and should be able to book their spot in the next stage against a visiting side who have not won on their travels since February. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 14.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
68.98% (0.568 0.57) 16.95% (-0.152 -0.15) 14.06% (-0.413 -0.41)
Both teams to score 60.41% (-0.588 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.64% (-0.22 -0.22)30.36% (0.223 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.37% (-0.265 -0.27)51.62% (0.268 0.27)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.063999999999993 0.06)8% (-0.061100000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.8% (0.155 0.16)28.2% (-0.153 -0.15)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (-0.68299999999999 -0.68)34.33% (0.686 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-0.736 -0.74)71.04% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 68.98%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 14.06%
    Draw 16.95%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 7.89% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.158 0.16)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.107 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.98% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.66% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.52% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.35% (0.064 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.03 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 68.98%
1-1 @ 7.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-0 @ 2.75% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 16.95%
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 14.06%

How you voted: Brighton vs Wolves

Brighton & Hove Albion
82.7%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
17.3%
139
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
Fifth Round
Wolves
1-0
Brighton
Lemina (2')
Sarabia (73'), Sa (82'), Neto (89')

Fati (17'), Julio (63')
Jan 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Brighton
0-0
Wolves
Webster (82')
Cunha (45+2'), Dawson (54'), Kilman (73'), Gomes (90+2')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Wolves
1-4
Brighton
Hee-chan (61')
Dawson (17'), Hee-chan (63'), Nunes (76'), Kilman (88')
Nunes (90+5')
Mitoma (15'), Estupinan (46'), March (51', 55')
Gross (8'), Milner (18'), Enciso (19'), Estupinan (60'), Pedro (64'), Webster (90+5')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Brighton
6-0
Wolves
Undav (6', 66'), Gross (13', 26'), Welbeck (39', 48')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Wolves
2-3
Brighton
Guedes (12'), Neves (35' pen.)
Lallana (10'), Mitoma (44'), Gross (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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