Brighton3 - 2Wolves
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League
We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
With a mounting injury list, Brighton are likely to rest the majority of their key players from the start on Wednesday, handing Wolves a glimmer of hope as they aim to progress into the fourth round. That being said, the Seagulls have home advantage and should be able to book their spot in the next stage against a visiting side who have not won on their travels since February. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
68.98% ( 0.57) | 16.95% ( -0.15) | 14.06% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 60.41% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.64% ( -0.22) | 30.36% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.37% ( -0.27) | 51.62% ( 0.27) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92% ( 0.06) | 8% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.8% ( 0.16) | 28.2% ( -0.15) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.67% ( -0.68) | 34.33% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.96% ( -0.74) | 71.04% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 68.98% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.95% | 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.4% Total : 14.06% |
How you voted: Brighton vs Wolves
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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