MX23RW : Thursday, September 19 07:15:23| >> :60:14:14:
Brighton logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Wolves logo

Brighton
3 - 2
Wolves

Balepa (14'), Adingra (31'), Kadioglu (85')
Estupinan (36'), Hinshelwood (47'), Ferguson (62'), Moder (68'), Webster (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Guedes (44'), Doyle (90+1')
Sarabia (45+1'), Doyle (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Ipswich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers

With a mounting injury list, Brighton are likely to rest the majority of their key players from the start on Wednesday, handing Wolves a glimmer of hope as they aim to progress into the fourth round. That being said, the Seagulls have home advantage and should be able to book their spot in the next stage against a visiting side who have not won on their travels since February. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 14.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
68.98% (0.568 0.57) 16.95% (-0.152 -0.15) 14.06% (-0.413 -0.41)
Both teams to score 60.41% (-0.588 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.64% (-0.22 -0.22)30.36% (0.223 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.37% (-0.265 -0.27)51.62% (0.268 0.27)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.063999999999993 0.06)8% (-0.061100000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.8% (0.155 0.16)28.2% (-0.153 -0.15)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (-0.68299999999999 -0.68)34.33% (0.686 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-0.736 -0.74)71.04% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 68.98%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 14.06%
    Draw 16.95%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 7.89% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.158 0.16)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.107 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.98% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.66% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.52% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.35% (0.064 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.03 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 68.98%
1-1 @ 7.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-0 @ 2.75% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 16.95%
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 14.06%

How you voted: Brighton vs Wolves

Brighton & Hove Albion
82.7%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
17.3%
139
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
Fifth Round
Wolves
1-0
Brighton
Lemina (2')
Sarabia (73'), Sa (82'), Neto (89')

Fati (17'), Julio (63')
Jan 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Brighton
0-0
Wolves
Webster (82')
Cunha (45+2'), Dawson (54'), Kilman (73'), Gomes (90+2')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Wolves
1-4
Brighton
Hee-chan (61')
Dawson (17'), Hee-chan (63'), Nunes (76'), Kilman (88')
Nunes (90+5')
Mitoma (15'), Estupinan (46'), March (51', 55')
Gross (8'), Milner (18'), Enciso (19'), Estupinan (60'), Pedro (64'), Webster (90+5')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Brighton
6-0
Wolves
Undav (6', 66'), Gross (13', 26'), Welbeck (39', 48')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Wolves
2-3
Brighton
Guedes (12'), Neves (35' pen.)
Lallana (10'), Mitoma (44'), Gross (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400113812
2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


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