Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 58.2%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 20.97% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.