Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wycombe Wanderers in this match.
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