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Salford City
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Moor Lane
Leeds logo

Salford City
1 - 1
Leeds

Smith (34')
FT
(aet)
Struijk (76')
Gnonto (60'), Darlow (104')
Salford City win 9-8 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Salford City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 3-4 Leeds
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Salford City 1-3 Leeds United

Having already sent Preston packing in this year's EFL Cup, Salford have nothing to lose on Tuesday and should at least fancy their chances of breaching a much-changed Leeds backline. Farke's team are yet to click into gear on all fronts this season, but with an abundance of attacking talent waiting in the wings, the Whites should bring a swift end to Salford's EFL Cup adventure, as was the case four years ago. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%).

Result
Salford CityDrawLeeds United
37.25% (1.297 1.3) 24.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 37.93% (-1.313 -1.31)
Both teams to score 58.39% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (0.705 0.7)23.76% (-0.705 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08% (1.001 1)57.91% (-1 -1)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (-0.672 -0.67)23.41% (0.674 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (-0.987 -0.99)57.39% (0.986 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 37.25%
    Leeds United 37.93%
    Draw 24.82%
Salford CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.173 0.17)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.162 0.16)
2-0 @ 5.74% (0.231 0.23)
3-1 @ 4% (0.163 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.164 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.086 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.25%
1-1 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 37.93%

How you voted: Salford City vs Leeds

Salford City
12.3%
Leeds United
87.7%
57
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Salford City
0-3
Leeds

Jones (93')
Nketiah (43'), Berardi (50'), Klich (58')
Klich (87')
rhs 2.0
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5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
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8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
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11Brentford2394104240231
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13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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