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EFL Cup
Wycombe Wanderers
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Adams Park
Aston Villa logo

Wycombe
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Kone (90+5')
Bakinson (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Buendia (55'), Duran (85' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wycombe Wanderers

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Wolves
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Wycombe Wanderers 1-3 Aston Villa

 As Aston Villa have other priorities - and are likely to field an unfamiliar team - Wycombe could pose a threat to their Premier League opponents for a while, before succumbing to defeat by the final whistle. Villa's squad does not run too deep, but it contains some promising players, so they should eventually grind out a win and reach the third round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawAston Villa
33.36% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 24.45%42.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 59.08% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.05%
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6%25.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)60.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.8% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.47%
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 33.36%
    Aston Villa 42.2%
    Draw 24.44%
Wycombe WanderersDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 7.79%
1-0 @ 7.24%
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.36%
1-1 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.93%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.51%
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.2%
1-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.2%

How you voted: Wycombe vs Aston Villa

Wycombe Wanderers
10.9%
Draw
5.8%
Aston Villa
83.3%
138
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2020 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Aston Villa
5-2
Wycombe
El Ghazi (2), Konsa, Trezeguet, Samatta
Onyedinma, Kashket
Jan 19, 2016 7.45pm
Third Round
Aston Villa
2-0
Wycombe
Clark (75'), Gana (90')

Jacobsen (82')
> Match Report
Jan 9, 2016 12.45pm
Third Round
Wycombe
1-1
Aston Villa
Jacobson (50' pen.)
Amadi-Holloway (52'), Harriman (91')
Richards (22')
Westwood (49')
> Match Report
Jul 20, 2013 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Wycombe
2-2
Aston Villa
McCoy (11'), Johnson (31')
Lowton (24'), Westwood (52')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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