MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 13:38:18| >> :120:62791:62791:
Wycombe Wanderers
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Adams Park
Aston Villa logo

Wycombe
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Kone (90+5')
Bakinson (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Buendia (55'), Duran (85' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Wolves
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Wycombe Wanderers 1-3 Aston Villa

As Aston Villa have other priorities - and are likely to field an unfamiliar team - Wycombe could pose a threat to their Premier League opponents for a while, before succumbing to defeat by the final whistle. Villa's squad does not run too deep, but it contains some promising players, so they should eventually grind out a win and reach the third round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawAston Villa
33.36% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 24.45%42.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 59.08% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.05%
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6%25.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)60.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.8% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.47%
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 33.36%
    Aston Villa 42.2%
    Draw 24.44%
Wycombe WanderersDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 7.79%
1-0 @ 7.24%
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.36%
1-1 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.93%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.51%
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.2%
1-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.2%

How you voted: Wycombe vs Aston Villa

Wycombe Wanderers
10.9%
Draw
5.8%
Aston Villa
83.3%
138
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2020 3pm
Jan 19, 2016 7.45pm
Third Round
Aston Villa
2-0
Wycombe
Clark (75'), Gana (90')

Jacobsen (82')
Jan 9, 2016 12.45pm
Third Round
Wycombe
1-1
Aston Villa
Jacobson (50' pen.)
Amadi-Holloway (52'), Harriman (91')
Richards (22')
Westwood (49')
Jul 20, 2013 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Wycombe
2-2
Aston Villa
McCoy (11'), Johnson (31')
Lowton (24'), Westwood (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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