Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
51.6% ( 0) | 22.92% ( -0) | 25.48% |
Both teams to score 59.15% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.75% | 41.25% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.35% ( 0) | 63.65% ( -0) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.92% ( 0) | 16.08% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.53% ( 0) | 45.47% ( -0) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.49% | 29.51% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.48% ( 0) | 65.52% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 5.89% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.5% Total : 51.6% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-1 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.22% Total : 25.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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