Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
51.6% ( 0) | 22.92% ( -0) | 25.48% |
Both teams to score 59.15% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.75% | 41.25% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.35% ( 0) | 63.65% ( -0) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.92% ( 0) | 16.08% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.53% ( 0) | 45.47% ( -0) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.49% | 29.51% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.48% ( 0) | 65.52% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 5.89% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.5% Total : 51.6% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-1 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.22% Total : 25.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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