MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 08:53:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arsenal logo
Aston Villa logo
Bournemouth logo
Brentford logo
Brighton logo
Chelsea logo
Crystal Palace logo
Everton logo
Fulham logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Liverpool logo
Manchester City logo
Manchester United logo
Newcastle logo
Nottingham Forest logo
Southampton logo
Spurs logo
West Ham logo
Wolves logo
Aston Villa logo
Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
Everton logo

Aston Villa
3 - 2
Everton

Watkins (36', 58'), Duran (76')
Martinez (47'), Emery (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
McNeil (16'), Calvert-Lewin (27')
Ndiaye (15'), Iroegbunam (19'), Young (79'), O'Brien (88')

The Match

Match Report

Ollie Watkins nets a brace and Jhon Duran scores a stunning long-range goal as Aston Villa come back from two goals down to beat Everton 3-2 at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 2-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawEverton
44.32% (-0.155 -0.16) 23.52% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 32.16% (0.173 0.17)
Both teams to score 61.96% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.31% (0.156 0.16)39.69% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.96% (0.162 0.16)62.04% (-0.161 -0.16)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)49.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (0.175 0.17)24.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (0.247 0.25)58.54% (-0.247 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 44.32%
    Everton 32.16%
    Draw 23.51%
Aston VillaDrawEverton
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 44.32%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.16%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Everton

Aston Villa
83.5%
Draw
10.7%
Everton
5.8%
242
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 21
Everton
0-0
Aston Villa
Tarkowski (73')
Watkins (31'), Carlos (48'), Lenglet (73'), Tielemans (75')
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Aston Villa
1-2
Everton
Kamara (83')
Watkins (46'), Digne (74'), Konsa (79'), Luiz (90+4')
Garner (15'), Calvert-Lewin (50')
Patterson (48'), Tarkowski (66'), McNeil (90+4')
Aug 20, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
4-0
Everton
McGinn (18'), Luiz (24' pen.), Bailey (51'), Duran (75')
Luiz (14'), Digne (33'), Archer (89')

Pickford (24'), Keane (45+4'), Gueye (45+9'), Patterson (86')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Everton
0-2
Aston Villa
Watkins (63' pen.), Buendia (81')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
2-1
Everton
Ings (31'), Buendia (85')
Coutinho (29'), Digne (49'), Ings (75'), Young (90+8')
Digne (87' og.)
Davies (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!