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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
Everton logo

Aston Villa
3 - 2
Everton

Watkins (36', 58'), Duran (76')
Martinez (47'), Emery (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
McNeil (16'), Calvert-Lewin (27')
Ndiaye (15'), Iroegbunam (19'), Young (79'), O'Brien (88')

The Match

Match Report

Ollie Watkins nets a brace and Jhon Duran scores a stunning long-range goal as Aston Villa come back from two goals down to beat Everton 3-2 at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 2-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawEverton
44.32% (-0.155 -0.16) 23.52% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 32.16% (0.173 0.17)
Both teams to score 61.96% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.31% (0.156 0.16)39.69% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.96% (0.162 0.16)62.04% (-0.161 -0.16)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)49.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (0.175 0.17)24.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (0.247 0.25)58.54% (-0.247 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 44.32%
    Everton 32.16%
    Draw 23.51%
Aston VillaDrawEverton
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 44.32%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.16%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Everton

Aston Villa
83.5%
Draw
10.7%
Everton
5.8%
242
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 21
Everton
0-0
Aston Villa
Tarkowski (73')
Watkins (31'), Carlos (48'), Lenglet (73'), Tielemans (75')
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Aston Villa
1-2
Everton
Kamara (83')
Watkins (46'), Digne (74'), Konsa (79'), Luiz (90+4')
Garner (15'), Calvert-Lewin (50')
Patterson (48'), Tarkowski (66'), McNeil (90+4')
Aug 20, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
4-0
Everton
McGinn (18'), Luiz (24' pen.), Bailey (51'), Duran (75')
Luiz (14'), Digne (33'), Archer (89')

Pickford (24'), Keane (45+4'), Gueye (45+9'), Patterson (86')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Everton
0-2
Aston Villa
Watkins (63' pen.), Buendia (81')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
2-1
Everton
Ings (31'), Buendia (85')
Coutinho (29'), Digne (49'), Ings (75'), Young (90+8')
Digne (87' og.)
Davies (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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