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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Wolves logo

Aston Villa
vs.
Wolves

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Aston Villa could line up in Saturday's Premier League clash with Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Young Boys 0-3 Aston Villa
Tuesday, September 17 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We say: Aston Villa 2-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Goals should be guaranteed, as Aston Villa are particularly potent on home turf and Wolves cannot stop conceding. Buoyed by their big win last time out, Villa can ride the wave of momentum and see off their ailing local rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw has a probability of 19.5% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers has a probability of 18.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.52%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it is 1-2 (4.95%).

Result
Aston VillaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
62.25% (-2.323 -2.32) 19.47% (0.425 0.43) 18.28% (1.898 1.9)
Both teams to score 60.88% (2.601 2.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.79% (1.499 1.5)34.21% (-1.498 -1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.89% (1.673 1.67)56.1% (-1.672 -1.67)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.41% (-0.149 -0.15)10.59% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.63% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)34.36% (0.34099999999999 0.34)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.09% (3.018 3.02)31.91% (-3.018 -3.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.64% (3.311 3.31)68.36% (-3.31 -3.31)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 62.25%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 18.28%
    Draw 19.47%
Aston VillaDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.791 -0.79)
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.652 -0.65)
3-1 @ 7.28% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.636 -0.64)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.28 0.28)
4-1 @ 4.09% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.58% (-0.383 -0.38)
4-2 @ 2.34% (0.143 0.14)
5-1 @ 1.84% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.183 -0.18)
5-2 @ 1.05% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 62.25%
1-1 @ 8.67%
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.407 0.41)
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.224 0.22)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.47%
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.392 0.39)
0-1 @ 3.86% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.2% (0.187 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.31 0.31)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.287 0.29)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 18.28%

Who will win Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Wolves?

Aston Villa
Draw
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Aston Villa
73.9%
Draw
8.7%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
17.4%
23
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Aston Villa
2-0
Wolves
Diaby (36'), Konsa (65')
Tielemans (30'), Duran (84'), Digne (90+6')

Sarabia (19'), Chirewa (81'), Kilman (84'), Gomes (90+1')
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Wolves
1-1
Aston Villa
Hee-chan (53')
Dawson (28'), Lemina (62'), Semedo (67'), Kalajdzic (90+14')
Lemina (90+4')
Torres (55')
Kamara (6'), McGinn (29')
May 6, 2023 3pm
Jan 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
1-1
Wolves
Ings (78')
Podence (12')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Wolves
2-1
Aston Villa
Castro (7'), Young (36' og.)
Coady (25'), Castro (66'), Marcal (90+2'), Neto (90+3')
Watkins (86' pen.)
McGinn (38'), Young (90+3'), Konsa (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400113812
2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


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