Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
45.32% ( -0.47) | 24.67% ( 0.29) | 30% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 56.77% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.98% ( -1.22) | 46.02% ( 1.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.68% ( -1.17) | 68.32% ( 1.16) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.61% ( -0.7) | 20.39% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.19% ( -1.12) | 52.8% ( 1.12) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% ( -0.5) | 28.68% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% ( -0.62) | 64.5% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.33% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 30% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
2 | Arsenal | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
4 | Liverpool | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 9 |
5 | Aston Villa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
9 | Brentford | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
10 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
11 | Bournemouth | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
12 | Fulham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
13 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 |
19 | Southampton | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
20 | Everton | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
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