MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 14:41:27| >> :120:43335:43335:
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Reading logo

Brighton U21s
0 - 0
Reading


McConville (52')
FT

Abby (45'), Mbengue (77')
Brighton U21s win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton U21s 0-0 Leicester U21s
Saturday, December 16 at 4pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Reading 3-2 Exeter
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 0-2 Reading

Reading have been impressive in this season's competition, and we are expecting the League One side to advance to the next stage with a two-goal success. Brighton Under-21s have a lot of talent, but Ruth's side could come unstuck in Tuesday evening's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21sDrawReading
17.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 17.69% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 65.21% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 65.41% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.52% (-0.134 -0.13)27.48% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.91% (-0.166 -0.17)48.09% (0.167 0.17)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)28.88% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24% (-0.12 -0.12)64.76% (0.121 0.12)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)8.03% (0.040100000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.72% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)28.28% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 17.1%
    Reading 65.21%
    Draw 17.69%
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21sDrawReading
2-1 @ 4.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 2.88% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 1.79% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 17.1%
1-1 @ 7.26% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 2.32% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 17.69%
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.2% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.85% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.91% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 3.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.45% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-5 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.25% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 65.21%

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