EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
St James Park
Exeter2 - 1Saints U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Exeter City and Southampton Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Exeter 2-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leeds U21s 6-2 Saints U21s
Friday, September 16 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Friday, September 16 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 80.07%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 7.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a Southampton Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
80.07% ( 1.65) | 12.57% ( -1.25) | 7.35% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( 3.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
