MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 00:07:24| >> :600:460223:460223:
Carlisle United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 2
Forest U21s

Allan (88')
Neal (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gardner (31'), Whitehall (90+4')
McAdam (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Carlisle United and Nottingham Forest Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 Tranmere
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Reading U21s 0-2 Forest U21s
Friday, August 30 at 3pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Nottingham Forest Under-21s

Both scoring and stopping goals has proved a problem for Carlisle, so they may be held at home by an in-form Nottingham Forest Under-21 side looking to impress on the senior stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
47.1% (0.163 0.16) 23.2% (0.09 0.09) 29.69% (-0.259 -0.26)
Both teams to score 61.73% (-0.503 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58% (-0.589 -0.59)39.41% (0.585 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24% (-0.616 -0.62)61.75% (0.613 0.61)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.95% (-0.164 -0.16)17.04% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.8% (-0.288 -0.29)47.2% (0.285 0.29)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (-0.461 -0.46)25.58% (0.456 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (-0.626 -0.63)60.46% (0.623 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 47.1%
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 29.69%
    Draw 23.2%
Carlisle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.169 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 47.1%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.36% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.69%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Forest U21s

Carlisle United
43.6%
Draw
16.4%
Nottingham Forest Under-21s
40.0%
55
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
0-2
Forest U21s

Robinson (85'), Butterworth (86'), Plange (90+7')
Powell (69'), Perry (77')
McAdam (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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