Morecambe4 - 2Forest U21s
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
We said: Morecambe 2-1 Nottingham Forest Under-21s
We are expecting a tight match on Tuesday, with Morecambe struggling at the bottom of League Two, but we are backing the home side to navigate their way to a vital win in the Group C fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
46.18% ( -0.04) | 23.52% ( -0.05) | 30.3% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60.97% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
