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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Notts County |
34.3% ( -0.26) | 23.94% ( 0.02) | 41.76% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 61.21% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.99% ( -0.17) | 41.01% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.6% ( -0.17) | 63.4% ( 0.18) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.4% ( -0.22) | 23.6% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.32% ( -0.32) | 57.68% ( 0.33) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.11% ( 0.04) | 19.88% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48% ( 0.06) | 52% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.3% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 41.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
2 | Notts County | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Walsall | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 15 |
7 | Port Vale | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Chesterfield | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
12 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
14 | MK Dons | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 10 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
20 | Salford City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 9 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |