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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Bradford City |
26.33% ( 0.57) | 25.07% ( -0.02) | 48.6% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.03% ( 0.5) | 49.96% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.05% ( 0.44) | 71.95% ( -0.45) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.53% ( 0.74) | 33.46% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.9% ( 0.8) | 70.1% ( -0.81) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% ( -0.04) | 20.58% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.88% ( -0.06) | 53.11% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.37% Total : 26.33% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 48.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
3 | Notts County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
11 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
12 | Chesterfield | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
13 | Newport CountyNewport | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
15 | MK Dons | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
16 | Salford City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
23 | Morecambe | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |