EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2020 at 7pm UK
The County Ground
Swindon3 - 4Exeter
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Swindon Town and Exeter City.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Exeter City |
40.86% | 25.95% | 33.18% |
Both teams to score 53.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.57% | 50.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.64% | 72.36% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.62% | 24.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.21% | 58.79% |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.22% | 28.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.38% | 64.62% |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town 40.87%
Exeter City 33.18%
Draw 25.95%
Swindon Town | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.87% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.18% |
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Form Guide