Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Kristiansund in this match.