Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.