Lillestrom

4 - 3

Stromsgodset

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Stromsgodset win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.