Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.