Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 17

Aug 7, 2022 at 5pm UK

Marienlyst Stadion

Stromsgodset
3 - 1
Sarpsborg

Vilsvik (28'), Stengel (40'), Boahene (81')
Ipalibo (24'), Boahene (82'), Stenevik (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Torp (58')
Heintz (67'), Jacques Mendy (88')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Stromsgodset and Sarpsborg 08.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.38%) and 3-1 (5.2%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.

Result
Stromsgodset	Draw	Sarpsborg 08
42.4% ( -0.05)	22.06% ( -0.1)	35.53% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 68.72% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.66% (

0.51)

31.33% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.21% (

0.6)

52.78% (

-0.61)

Stromsgodset Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.34% (

0.19)

15.65% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.32% (

0.35)

44.68% (

-0.35)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.48% (

0.3)

18.52% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.25% (

0.5)

49.75% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Stromsgodset 42.4%

Sarpsborg 08 35.53%

Draw 22.06%

Stromsgodset	Draw	Sarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.96% Total : 42.4%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.06%	1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.53%