Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-0 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.