Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 11.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.