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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 89.79%. A draw had a probability of 7% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 3.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.15%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Heracles |
89.79% | 7.01% | 3.19% |
Both teams to score 47.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
81.03% | 18.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
63.35% | 36.65% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.51% | 2.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
88.32% | 11.68% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.87% | 51.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.57% | 85.43% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Heracles |
3-0 @ 10.72% 4-0 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 8.7% 5-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 7.19% 4-1 @ 6.65% 2-1 @ 5.84% 5-1 @ 4.92% 1-0 @ 4.7% 6-0 @ 4.53% 6-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.41% 7-0 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 2.23% 5-2 @ 1.65% 7-1 @ 1.6% 8-0 @ 1.11% 6-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.83% Total : 89.79% | 1-1 @ 3.15% 2-2 @ 1.96% 0-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.63% Total : 7.01% | 1-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.14% Total : 3.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |