Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 16, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Utrecht0 - 3Ajax
We said: FC Utrecht 1-3 Ajax
With a chance to reclaim top spot albeit temporarily, Ajax will be fired up for the clash, and we are tipping them to come away with all three points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
| 14.56% | 18.53% | 66.91% |
| Both teams to score 55.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.9% | 37.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.7% | 59.3% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% | 38.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.13% | 74.87% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.75% | 10.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.41% | 33.6% |
| Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht 14.56%
Ajax 66.91%
Draw 18.53%
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 4.14% 1-0 @ 3.77% 2-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.98% Total : 14.56% | 1-1 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.72% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.53% | 0-2 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 8.9% 0-3 @ 7.7% 1-3 @ 7.43% 0-4 @ 4.38% 1-4 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.58% 2-4 @ 2.04% 0-5 @ 2% 1-5 @ 1.93% 2-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.9% Total : 66.91% |
How you voted: Utrecht vs Ajax
FC Utrecht
8.5%Draw
12.7%Ajax
78.9%71
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm
Apr 22, 2021 5.45pm
Nov 8, 2020 11.15am
Apr 9, 2020 6.15pm
Gameweek 22
Utrecht
P-P
Ajax
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Utrecht
2-0
Ajax
