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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 11.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Heracles |
71.55% | 16.79% | 11.66% |
Both teams to score 53.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.03% | 35.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.93% | 58.07% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.15% | 8.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.68% | 30.32% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.29% | 41.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.82% | 78.18% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Heracles |
2-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 7.67% 4-0 @ 5.32% 4-1 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 3.35% 5-0 @ 2.58% 5-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 2.03% 6-0 @ 1.04% 5-2 @ 0.99% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.68% Total : 71.55% | 1-1 @ 7.83% 2-2 @ 4.15% 0-0 @ 3.69% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.79% | 1-2 @ 3.42% 0-1 @ 3.23% 0-2 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.21% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.39% Total : 11.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |