Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
