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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
35.01% (![]() | 24.37% (![]() | 40.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.1% (![]() | 42.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.7% (![]() | 65.3% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.91% (![]() | 24.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.62% (![]() | 58.38% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.79% (![]() | 21.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.9% (![]() | 54.1% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 8.03% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.27% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 11.27% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 8.74% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 28 |
12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |