Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 9.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.02%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Emmen |
75.01% (![]() | 15.65% (![]() | 9.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.31% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.36% (![]() | 37.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.12% (![]() | 59.87% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.51% (![]() | 8.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.57% (![]() | 29.43% (![]() |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.79% (![]() | 47.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.36% | 82.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Emmen |
2-0 @ 12.18% 3-0 @ 10.02% 1-0 @ 9.88% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.52% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.34% Total : 75% | 1-1 @ 7.42% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.43% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 15.65% | 0-1 @ 3.01% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 9.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 28 |
12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |