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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Emmen | Draw | NEC |
52.79% ( -0.27) | 23.73% ( 0.14) | 23.48% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.19% ( -0.46) | 46.81% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.93% ( -0.44) | 69.07% ( 0.43) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.3% ( -0.28) | 17.7% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.66% ( -0.47) | 48.34% ( 0.47) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.82% ( -0.14) | 34.17% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.13% ( -0.15) | 70.87% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Emmen | Draw | NEC |
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.62% Total : 52.78% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 23.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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