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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
AZ Alkmaar

FC Twente
2 - 1
AZ

Ugalde (8', 11')
Pleguezuelo (61'), Cerny (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Karlsson (66')
Karlsson (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 0-3 FC Twente
Saturday, March 11 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Lazio
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: FC Twente 2-2 AZ Alkmaar

AZ head into the clash on a better run of results but Twente have repeatedly shown how tough to beat they are on home turf. We expect a highly-entertaining affair here with goals at both ends and honours even come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
50.09% (0.248 0.25) 24.34% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 25.58% (-0.228 -0.23)
Both teams to score 54.48% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)47.48% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)69.7% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (0.060999999999993 0.06)18.99% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (0.106 0.11)50.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.235 -0.23)32.75% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.262 -0.26)69.31% (0.259 0.26)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 50.09%
    AZ Alkmaar 25.58%
    Draw 24.34%
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.58%

How you voted: FC Twente vs AZ

FC Twente
28.6%
Draw
12.7%
AZ Alkmaar
58.7%
63
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 3.45pm
Mar 13, 2022 7pm
Sep 23, 2021 8pm
FC Twente
3-1
AZ
Van Wolfswinkel (1'), Rots (17'), Limnios (90+1')
Propper (57')
Karlsson (44')
Martins Indi (39'), de Wit (51'), Gudmundsson (84'), Hatzidiakos (90')
Mar 13, 2021 7pm
AZ
4-1
FC Twente
Boadu (4'), Dumic (22' og.), Drommel (34' og.), Koopmeiners (78')
Martins Indi (43')
Gudmundsson (40' og.)
Dumic (36'), Zerrouki (57')
Dec 13, 2020 7pm
FC Twente
1-3
AZ
Danilo (73' pen.)
Drommel (33'), Danilo (90+2')
Oosterwolde (89')
Koopmeiners (34' pen., 90'), Sugawara (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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