MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:05:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
AZ Alkmaar

Ajax
0 - 0
AZ


Hato (87')
FT

Hatzidiakos (49'), Mihailovic (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ajax 3-1 AZ Alkmaar

Ajax will be determined to catch PSV again after a harrowing week at the hands of their rivals and could capitalise on AZ's eye potentially being elsewhere. Jansen's job to keep his side's focus firmly on this game and not West Ham will be important, but going to Amsterdam is often a tough task at the best of times, and injuries may scupper their chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
61.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 19.98% (-0.012 -0.01) 18.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.36% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.5% (0.030000000000001 0.03)35.51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.45% (0.032000000000004 0.03)57.55% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (0.016000000000005 0.02)11.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.08% (0.037999999999997 0.04)35.92% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59%68.42%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 61.03%
    AZ Alkmaar 19%
    Draw 19.98%
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.58% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.88% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 61.03%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59%
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.98%
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 4.12% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 19%

How you voted: Ajax vs AZ

Ajax
69.4%
Draw
2.8%
AZ Alkmaar
27.8%
36
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 7
AZ
2-1
Ajax
De Wit (40'), Odgaard (45+5')
Kudus (12')
Taylor (26')
May 8, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 28
AZ
2-2
Ajax
Pavlidis (62'), Evjen (75')
Clasie (72'), Pavlidis (90+1'), Wijndal (90+4')
Brobbey (42'), Alvarez (86')
Klaassen (78')
Mar 3, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
AZ
0-2
Ajax

Hatzidiakos (27'), Clasie (71')
Berghuis (11'), Klaassen (89')
Haller (37'), Blind (74')
Dec 12, 2021 3.45pm
gameweek 15
Ajax
1-2
AZ
Haller (73')
Martinez (33'), Gravenberch (90+1')
Pavlidis (50'), Aboukhlal (83')
Wijndal (69')
Apr 25, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 30
Ajax
2-0
AZ
Klaassen (66', 90')

Karlsson (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!