MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:22:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Emmen

Ajax
3 - 1
Emmen

Sanchez (22'), Bergwijn (37'), Tadic (80')
Alvarez (32'), Taylor (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Antonisse (59')
Araujo (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, April 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 0-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-0 Emmen

Emmen are playing with enough belief that they will fancy their chances of upsetting Ajax on away territory. Nevertheless, this is a different level of step up, and it would come as a surprise if Ajax do not canter to victory, regardless of how Feyenoord fare earlier in the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 80.76%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 7.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.35%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawEmmen
80.76% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 11.97% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 7.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.01% (0.034000000000006 0.03)25.99% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.8% (0.042999999999999 0.04)46.2% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.11% (0.012999999999991 0.01)4.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03)19.65% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)79.47% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 80.76%
    Emmen 7.26%
    Draw 11.97%
AjaxDrawEmmen
3-0 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.12%
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 6.13% (0.0040000000000004 0)
5-0 @ 4.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.57% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-0 @ 2.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
7-0 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 80.76%
1-1 @ 5.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 11.97%
1-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 7.26%

How you voted: Ajax vs Emmen

Ajax
100%
Draw
0.0%
Emmen
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 5.45pm
Emmen
3-3
Ajax
Veldmate (6'), Zivkovic (58'), Bouchouari (84')
Assehnoun (74')
Taylor (8', 21'), Bergwijn (25')
May 2, 2021 1.30pm
Ajax
4-0
Emmen
Maduro (10'), Haller (61'), Rensch (66'), Klaassen (74')
Alvarez (57'), Tagliafico (65')

Cavlan (14'), Vlak (61')
Nov 28, 2020 5.45pm
Emmen
0-5
Ajax
Klaassen (20'), Labyad (29'), Traore (38'), Ekkelenkamp (69'), Promes (82')
Klaiber (79')
Apr 12, 2020 1.30pm
Aug 10, 2019 6.45pm
Ajax
5-0
Emmen
Van de Beek (27'), Ziyech (47'), Tadic (66'), Huntelaar (80', 88')

Bakker (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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