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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Emmen |
52.74% ( 0.55) | 23.07% ( -0.04) | 24.19% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 57.2% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.8% ( -0.34) | 43.2% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.4% ( -0.34) | 65.6% ( 0.34) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.61% ( 0.07) | 16.39% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.97% ( 0.13) | 46.03% ( -0.13) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.41% ( -0.61) | 31.59% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.01% ( -0.71) | 67.99% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Emmen |
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.74% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |