Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 12, 2025 at 11.15am UK
De Grolsch Veste
FC Twente6 - 2Willem II
We said: FC Twente 2-1 Willem II
Despite ending 2024 fairly poorly, Twente are yet to taste defeat at De Grolsch Veste this season and are unbeaten in their last five matches against this opponent. We expect the visitors to provide another stern test here, but fancy the host to edge the result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Willem II |
66.59% ( -0.46) | 18.99% ( 0.07) | 14.42% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 53.47% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.37% ( 0.59) | 39.63% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.02% ( 0.62) | 61.98% ( -0.61) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.96% ( 0.05) | 11.04% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.64% ( 0.11) | 35.36% ( -0.1) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.1% ( 0.94) | 39.9% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.44% ( 0.85) | 76.56% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
FC Twente 66.59%
Willem II 14.42%
Draw 18.99%
| FC Twente | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.18% Total : 66.59% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.99% | 1-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.78% Total : 14.42% |
How you voted: FC Twente vs Willem II
FC Twente
90.5%Draw
9.5%Willem II
0.0%21
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Willem II
0-1
FC Twente
Jan 22, 2022 8pm
Oct 17, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 9
FC Twente
1-1
Willem II
Mar 6, 2021 5.45pm
Oct 17, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 5
Willem II
0-3
FC Twente
Form Guide
