Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 22, 2022 at 8pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
0 - 1
FC Twente

Jenssen (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sadilek (39')
Zerrouki (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Willem II 1-2 FC Twente

Willem II are on a wretched run of results and will be desperate to arrest their slump in form against a more than capable Twente side. We fancy the away side to just edge out their hosts by the slightest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.

Result
Willem II	Draw	FC Twente
34.87%	25.84%	39.28%

Both teams to score 54.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.37%

49.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.35%

71.65%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.66%

27.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.2%

62.79%

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15%

24.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.55%

59.45%

Score Analysis

Willem II 34.87%

FC Twente 39.28%

Draw 25.84%

Willem II	Draw	FC Twente
1-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.87%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 9.46% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 6.59% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.28%