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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
45.27% ( -0.67) | 23.15% ( 0.22) | 31.58% ( 0.46) |
Both teams to score 63.02% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.81% ( -0.84) | 38.19% ( 0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.53% ( -0.9) | 60.46% ( 0.89) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.72% ( -0.59) | 17.28% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.39% ( -1.04) | 47.61% ( 1.04) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.18% ( -0.14) | 23.82% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42% ( -0.2) | 57.99% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.09% Total : 45.27% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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