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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
47.75% ( 0.11) | 24.13% ( 0.01) | 28.12% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.32% ( -0.11) | 44.68% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% ( -0.11) | 67.04% ( 0.11) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.17% ( -0.01) | 18.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.72% ( -0.01) | 50.27% ( 0) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.67% ( -0.14) | 29.32% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.7% ( -0.17) | 65.3% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 28.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |