Eredivisie | Gameweek 31

May 6, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
0 - 1
PSV

de Guzman (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

El Ghazi (74')
Simons (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 3-3 Sparta
Sunday, April 23 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 1-1 PSV (2-3 pen.)
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

Sparta's only remaining objective will be to try to chase down AZ in fourth, but they would likely need to win all of their remaining games to even have a chance, and PSV are a frightening prospect to face right now. With the confidence running through the side following two massive victories over Ajax, PSV are expected to keep their excellent late-season form going here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
17.77% ( 0.02)	20.56% ( 0.01)	61.67% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.81% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.66% (

40.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.29% (

62.71% (

-0)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.85% (

0.02)

36.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.07% (

0.02)

72.93% (

-0.02)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.41% (

-0)

12.59% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.32% (

-0.01)

38.68% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 17.77%

PSV Eindhoven 61.67%

Draw 20.56%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 4.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 17.77%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.56%	1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.75% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.48% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 61.67%