Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax3 - 1Utrecht
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Groningen 2-3 Ajax
Tuesday, May 16 at 2pm in Eredivisie
Tuesday, May 16 at 2pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 2-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie
We said: Ajax 2-0 FC Utrecht
With Utrecht having built up a head of steam of late, this could prove to be a tricky encounter for Ajax when they are under pressure. However, rediscovering their goalscoring touch last time out can only benefit them, and we feel that the home side should run out the victors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
69.34% ( 0.55) | 16.88% ( -0.14) | 13.79% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 59.89% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
