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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
67.55% ( -0.19) | 18.82% ( 0.05) | 13.63% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 51.88% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.37% ( 0.13) | 40.63% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.99% ( 0.13) | 63.01% ( -0.13) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.93% ( -0.01) | 11.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.56% ( -0.03) | 35.44% ( 0.03) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.34% ( 0.3) | 41.66% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.86% ( 0.26) | 78.14% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.03% Total : 67.54% | 1-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.82% | 0-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.55% Total : 13.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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