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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 75.43%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.42%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | Feyenoord |
9.65% ( -0.02) | 14.92% ( -0.18) | 75.43% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.72% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.21% ( 0.89) | 32.79% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.52% ( 1.02) | 54.48% ( -1.02) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.85% ( 0.6) | 43.15% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.58% ( 0.5) | 79.42% ( -0.5) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.73% ( 0.25) | 7.27% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.68% ( 0.64) | 26.32% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 2.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 9.65% | 1-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.92% | 0-2 @ 10.77% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 9.42% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 7.92% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 5.19% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 2.72% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.08) 0-6 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) 1-6 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) 2-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.46% Total : 75.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |