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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 59.18%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 22.32% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (5.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.74%).
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
59.18% ( -0.04) | 18.5% ( -0.02) | 22.32% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 71.96% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.83% ( 0.17) | 23.17% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.51% ( 0.23) | 42.49% ( -0.22) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.93% ( 0.04) | 8.07% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.62% ( 0.1) | 28.38% ( -0.1) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.27% ( 0.14) | 21.73% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.1% ( 0.21) | 54.9% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.57% Total : 59.18% | 1-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 18.5% | 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 22.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |